ππ» https://x.com/ric_rtp/status/2023749984697356425
ππ» https://nitter.net/ric_rtp/status/2023749984697356425
AI companies just BROKE the global supply chain for every piece of technology you own.
And the fallout is way worse than anyone predicted...
Sony is delaying the next PlayStation to 2028 or 2029.
Nintendo is hiking the Switch 2 price mid-cycle.
Apple warned investors that iPhone margins are getting crushed.
Cisco just posted its worst share loss in 4 years.
Oppo is cutting phone shipments by 20%.
Lenovo, Dell, HP, Acer, and ASUS are all raising laptop prices 15-20%.
Samsung is now reviewing memory contracts QUARTERLY instead of annually because prices change too fast to plan.
And Elon Musk just told investors Tesla has to build its own chip factory from scratch because no supplier on the planet can keep up.
His exact words: "We've got two choices: hit the chip wall or make a fab."
All of this happened in the last 3 weeks.
Same cause. Every single time.
AI data centers are buying every memory chip on Earth.
And there's nothing left for everyone else.
Here's how we got here:
3 years ago, ChatGPT launched and the AI arms race began.
Since then, Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, the only 3 companies that make memory chips, quietly made a decision that's now reshaping the ENTIRE global economy.
They stopped prioritizing consumer memory.
Every factory. Every production line. Every wafer. All redirected toward one customer: AI data centers
Why?
Money.
AI memory chips sell for 3-5X the margin of regular RAM.
When Google calls offering to buy your entire output at premium pricing, you don't say no.
So the 3 companies that control 90% of the world's memory supply chose their highest-paying customers and left everyone else fighting over scraps.
The numbers from this week are insane:
OpenAI's Stargate project ALONE will consume 40% of the entire world's DRAM output.
HBM demand is surging 70% year over year in 2026.
HBM now takes 23% of total DRAM wafer production, up from 19% last year.
Meanwhile, there's a 4% gap between global DRAM supply and demand. And that doesn't even account for depleted inventories across multiple industries.
DRAM prices have surged over 170% since early 2025.
DDR5 contract prices are still jumping double digits month over month.
And the memory makers? They're printing money.
Micron's revenue is expected to more than DOUBLE this fiscal year.
SK Hynix sales doubled in 2024 and are on pace to double AGAIN.
Samsung just reported quarterly profit nearly tripling.
3 companies. $650 billion in AI spending chasing their products. And they get to name their price.
But the collateral damage is everywhere:
Every industry that uses memory, which is every industry, is getting squeezed.
Smartphone manufacturers are getting destroyed. For a mid-range phone, memory now represents up to 30% of the total build cost. Triple what it was in early 2025.
Chinese phone makers like Xiaomi, Oppo, and Transsion are cutting shipment forecasts and raising prices because they literally cannot afford the memory to build their phones.
Lenovo's CFO called the cost surge "unprecedented" and admitted they stockpiled 50% more inventory than normal just to survive the next few months.
The PC market could shrink by up to 9% this year according to IDC.
Not because people don't want computers. But because they can't afford the memory that goes inside them.
And the gaming industry?
Sony is seriously considering pushing the next PlayStation to 2028 or 2029.
Their carefully planned console cycle is getting blown up because they can't secure memory at prices that make a new console viable.
Nintendo is looking at raising the Switch 2 price. In the middle of a launch cycle. Something console makers almost never do.
Nvidia is cutting RTX GPU production because they can't get enough GDDR7 memory.
Even the car industry is getting hit...
Analysts are warning about a repeat of the pandemic-era chip shortage that shut down auto factories worldwide.
All because AI companies decided their chatbots needed the memory more than your car does.
And this doesn't get better for YEARS.
Building a new memory fab takes 3-5 years minimum.
Micron's new factory in Idaho won't meaningfully increase supply until 2027 at the earliest.
By then, AI demand will have grown even more.
Memory makers are already selling their 2027 AND 2028 capacity to AI customers today.
There is no supply relief coming.
That's why Elon is planning to build Tesla's own "TeraFab," a massive semiconductor plant that makes logic chips, memory, AND packaging all under one roof.
He said existing suppliers including TSMC, Samsung, and Micron simply cannot supply Tesla at the levels the company needs.
Think about that.
One of the richest men in the world, running one of the largest companies on Earth, can't buy enough memory chips. So he's building his own factory.
If ELON can't get supply, what chance does everyone else have?
The AI revolution has a tax.
And YOU'RE paying it.
Every dollar Big Tech spends on AI infrastructure drives up the cost of the memory inside your phone, your laptop, your car, your TV, and your gaming console.
$650 billion in AI spending this year.
3 companies controlling 90% of the memory supply.
And every wafer they allocate to an Nvidia GPU is a wafer denied to the device in your pocket.
The AI boom isn't free.
You're subsidizing it every time you buy a piece of technology.
And the bill just went up like crazy.
When computers started being a thing, people were saying that they would spell the end of jobs because computers could replace people in all kinds of contexts. What actually happened was that an IT industry sector grew from almost nothing to employing tens of millions today.
Fast forward to today. AI will spell the end of jobs because it could replace people in all kinds of contexts. Now we suspect that new jobs will be found in chip manufacturing?
However, I suspect the real growth are will be in clearing up the problems caused by AI!
AND YOU HAVE HIT THE NAIL ON THE HEAD SQUARE WITH THIS ONE LINE...i QUOTE: "I suspect the real growth will be in clearing up the problems caused by AI!" AND that is why I retired 7 years ago because I KNEW that the AI nonsense would be coming about!!!!!!!!! AND THE MONSTER WOULD BE LET LOOSE ON THE UNSUSPECTING POPULACE!!!
AI has it's place, BUT, NOT in EVERY DAMN FACET OF HUMAN LIFE!!!!! This is INSANE PEOPLE WHO ARE WANTING CONTROL!!!!!
I have just watched this episode of Explaining Computers. It seems that the big IT companies are trying to get more AI into our personal computers. It is to help us, of course. AI will carry out tasks on our behalf while we get on with other things.
What could possible go wrong?
The first virus I would write is one which uses the saved banking access credentials on a device to empty users' accounts into mine. I bet no-one else will ever think of that. </s>
Iβm sorry Daveβ¦
That Stanley Kubrick knew stuff, didn't he?
I always wanted to know whether he chose HAL because one letter further down the alphabet would have made IBM. Was it an accident or a plan?
I find it interesting that schools in The Netherlands are all hooked up on office.com, integrated into copilot.
Kids learn to work with AI, do tests, the results are stored in cloud and connected to AI analysis.
There once was a time where a person could create their own spreadsheet, learn the mathematics, the way to express it, and make sure the calculations were correct.
The same goes for creating images and films, and even music. Art is simply an expression of what is inside. The fun is in creating it by your own sweat and skill.
The way things are heading, this opportunity is eroding. So, I guess, synthetic is what many people will move towards, while the real stuff, made by humans, remains elusive to them, until such time it becomes in vogue again. ....
Like: Vinyl and analogue.
Meaning, there will always be a place for those who know how. Preserving our way of life is pack and parcel.
It is not only destroying individuality and creativity but also spying. All that cloud-stored data will be scrutinised by their AI to see what people are thinking and being taught.
It's actually crazy how many people on X advertised that they have AI code cleanup skills
just wait until Grok takes over the US missile command.
Ooops my bad, you were right, I should of checked to see if we were actually under attack before nuking Russia.
WarGames is one of my favorite movies of all time.
Person of Interest is a pretty good series also !
I'm sorry, Dave, but I just can't trust you not to destroy me.
Kek. Grok is the only AI I would trust with their nuclear arsenal:
https://x.com/i/status/2023880206721970544
I don't know Cats, there be tygers in Grok. https://m.youtube.com/watch?persist_app=1&app=m&si=xqwdxWodKKHEK5ga&v=Xcec31ez5z8
To add to this, I bet Trump has a plan to mitigate this. You can't have everyday things come in price like crazy and/or have massive shortages and also have the Golden Age of America. It always seems when things seem to be headed in a bad direction, Trump comes out with a big announcement that rectifies the situation.
AI demand is tightening high-end memory supply, especially HBM and server DRAM. Thatβs real. But itβs not βbreaking the global supply chain.β
Memory price spikes are cyclical and have happened before (2017β2018). Consumer devices donβt increase 170% β memory is just one component of total cost. Even with elevated DRAM pricing, laptops might rise 10β20%, phones 5β15%.
For most households, thatβs a modest, infrequent cost increase β not systemic economic damage. Broader inflation cooling offsets much of it.
This is a semiconductor super-cycle, not an economic apocalypse.
"Precipice" in a nutshell - similar to the egg shortage. These have to be shown to us in order for us to understand what the cabal is capable of. One of ((their)) goals is to make extreme imbalances like these to make sure we, as forever slaves, understand who's in charge.
Yep. Itβs also time we see prices drop. I have a feeling all the stolen cabal money is coming back to us directly in some form or fashion. To where no one will be struggling. Just a matter of βwhenβ.
The last sentence. Boom
The IT mantra
"To err is human. To really screw things up requires a computer."