just looking at the numbers in the report, I will guess that this is the likely outcome. The minor candidates do not have enough votes to bring either candidate to 50%. the final candidate to be eliminated and have votes redistributed is the Dem with 20K votes. can't imagine that TDS voters would rank Kelly over the so called "centrist". I fear this is lost.
Math is hard and even harder is overcoming the delusion that your second choice will be other peoples second choice, and therefore you will still have an acceptable candidate.
Speculating here, if the Tshibaka voters all put the dem down as second choice, they could at least keep Murkowski from getting second round votes. If some Murkowski voters put Tshibaka down as second, maybe Tshibaka would win?
I don't know.
This is all purposely confusing to steal elections in my opinion. It basically sets up the uniparty to ensure their preferred candidates always win and the keep "outsiders" out. Just my thoughts.
Second votes don't matter until the first option is eliminated. The third Republican, Buzz Kelly will be eliminated first (which don't matter since he has less than 3% of the vote), next will be the Democrat, Patricia Chesbro. All of Chesbros second voter picks will be allocated.
This system basically helps moderates out by selecting the person who most people are OK with.
Second choice only counts if you first choice is eliminated, so no people who ranked second and voted for Tshibaka and Murkowski won't have their second choice counted because their first choice is still in the race, it will all be dem's second choice picks.
She has to get over 50% or Murkowski will still steal it, due to ranked choice voting.
just looking at the numbers in the report, I will guess that this is the likely outcome. The minor candidates do not have enough votes to bring either candidate to 50%. the final candidate to be eliminated and have votes redistributed is the Dem with 20K votes. can't imagine that TDS voters would rank Kelly over the so called "centrist". I fear this is lost.
Math is hard and even harder is overcoming the delusion that your second choice will be other peoples second choice, and therefore you will still have an acceptable candidate.
"Ranked choice voting" is fucking retarded and the asshole that came up with the idea should be beaten.
LETS GO!!!
So it’s safe to sleep?
Doesn't it really catch in your throat when we're ahead ..... then all they have to do is add in their made up numbers?
How to deal with that?
You can't. No point getting excited.
Arizona is key. Need the senate!
RCV is SO stupid.
The ballot initiative passed in 2020. Two years have passed, and the Legislature can vote to repeal the law. They can also amend it.
That’s a big win eliminating a RINO
Going to ranked choice. Murkowski will steal it.
Yup those 20k dems are going to flow right into Murkowski's pocket, its over.
Thanks for this update.
Not going to do any good.
Odd that nearly 2k more people voted for Congress Rep and Governor than Senator
What if Tshibaka voters voted Murkowski second...doesn't Tshibaka get a boost for that?
Why wouldn't Murkowski voters vote Tshibaka second as well?
Wouldn't Tshibaka also get a boost?
I don't know enough about this to make a judgement
I voted for tshibaka with no second choice
Speculating here, if the Tshibaka voters all put the dem down as second choice, they could at least keep Murkowski from getting second round votes. If some Murkowski voters put Tshibaka down as second, maybe Tshibaka would win?
I don't know.
This is all purposely confusing to steal elections in my opinion. It basically sets up the uniparty to ensure their preferred candidates always win and the keep "outsiders" out. Just my thoughts.
Second votes don't matter until the first option is eliminated. The third Republican, Buzz Kelly will be eliminated first (which don't matter since he has less than 3% of the vote), next will be the Democrat, Patricia Chesbro. All of Chesbros second voter picks will be allocated.
This system basically helps moderates out by selecting the person who most people are OK with.
Murky's people pushed this through hard (cheating and misinfo) because they knew it was her only shot at being reelected. They were right.
Second choice only counts if you first choice is eliminated, so no people who ranked second and voted for Tshibaka and Murkowski won't have their second choice counted because their first choice is still in the race, it will all be dem's second choice picks.