VIDEO OF Nova Kakhovka dam explosion
(truthsocial.com)
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At the moment nobody knows who the culprits are. Both sides have something to lose. Many people evacuating from both banks and several towns are losing power and water supply, as faraway as Krivvy Rih.
The dam WAS a hydro-electric dam, hence the loss of power. The massive lake behind it provided cooling water to the ZNPP. Although the latter has been in shut-down since September.
Russians had trenches on the Left bank, the islands in the middle that the Ukrainians were trying to invade, are now flooded, and Kherson and other settlements are slowly submerging.
The river is the front line. BTW.
Zelenski claims that it was the Russians - of course - and is calling for World intervention. On the other hand, Russians claim that the Ukraine was shelling the dam last fall, showing gross neglect of human life. and leading to the fall of Kherson.
The Americans claim that the Russians kept too few gates open when they left (water was extremely low at the time) - and claims the dam collapsed because of neglect. Yeah, nah, maybe. Who neglected to open the gates again?
A huge explosion sort of puts finis to the "neglect" hypothesis. Intelslava also pointed out that the aftermath would be a much lowered river level, to the benefit of anyone attempting an amphibious river crossing (e.g., the Ukrainians).
As for the nuclear powerplant, no real harm in prospect. According to Intelslava, the cooling water is largely a closed loop between settling ponds and the reactor system. Reservoir water would be needed only to make up for evaporative loss.
Yes, the ZNPP has a special pond that is walled off from the Dnieper. I have seen that on the maps.
I also agree about the explosion vs. cracking due to "neglect" analysis. The collapse could be argued to be due to the near-continuous Ukrainian shelling which has been reported, even by MSM in the West. I realize that the Russians also blew up the rail connection across the dam. More damningly (kek), there was even a report of Ukrainian plans to blow that dam and cause wide-spread flooding. Weird how such reports are memory-holed.
The 'neglect' theory is a sneaky way to pin the disaster on the Russians, stating that they are in 'control' of the Soviet dam. This claim is because the Soviets built it, therefore the Russians must maintain it. However, this neglects the fact that the Ukrainians were a Soviet as well.
In my opinion, the dam crossed the Dnieper between Ukrainian- and Russian-held territories. No-one could repair or maintain it, because the other side would start taking potshots at the maintenance staff. Take into account also that the water levels were at an extremely high level, because dams further up-stream had been released to 'relieve' pressure. This could be due to the very high rainfall that Ukraine has experienced this Winter, that also delayed the fabled 'Winter/Spring' Offensives.
In any case, the dam was damaged several times in the last year - which may demonstrate intent.
The other vector of analysis is a legal one - cui bono? Arguably the most affected group of people are the Crimeans, who stand to lose water through that contested canal that feeds from a point just above that dam. We know that the Ukrainians were set on punishing the Crimeans for not wanting to bow to the Nazi overlords, and this reasoning cut off their water supply, while Zelenski laughed about it on TV, in 2014. The Russians repaired the canal in 2022, so, one could see who wants to destroy that repair, and who wants to maintain the canal.
Good analysis.
Cheers
"Watch the water, pt. 1745"
https://youtu.be/b587ZUKlZsI "Worse case model of a dam break at the Nova Kakhovka dam"
Intel slava z has some good vids and updates on telegram.
Evacuation has begun in Ukraine controlled Kherson region
Upstream from this dam is the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant which sits along the Kakhovka reservoir
Water levels behind the dam were at a 30 year high
Dams like Nova Kakhovka are protected under the rules of war and the Geneva convention
Apparently Russia's withdrawal last year from the right bank of the Dnieper has now saved tens of thousands of Russian troops, who would now be cut off from supplies due to flooding
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-says-russia-blows-up-major-nova-kakhovka-dam-southern-ukraine-2023-06-06/
Wonder whether the 'NK' in '10 Days. Darnkess' could be referring to Nova Kakhovka, if not a typo or reference to North Korea.
Live news coverage https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ciBwZKaGdaw
I found this from Nov. 2022. Looks like the job got finished recently? God be with those down stream!!
https://metro.co.uk/2022/11/12/shocking-footage-shows-huge-explosions-at-nova-kakhovka-dam-in-kherson-17747514/
The video looks like someone blew it up from inside, which would take quite a bit of time to organize as the size and mass of the dam would need literal truck-loads of explosives to destroy....
Hmm. So Russia claims to have held off the counteroffensive, while Ukraine claims that wasn't the counter offensive.
2 tank battalions, mechanized infantry battalions, some 3,000 men, doesn't really sound like a recon force, let alone a probe of the front.
Ukraine can claim it wasn't the counteroffensive if it fails to break through, but if it had, it would have been the counteroffensive. Or, at least the start of it.
Did Russia need to blow this dam? I doubt it. But if this had been the counteroffensive, and failed, losing 16 tanks after spending months begging for them, I could see Ukraine blowing the dam as a hail Mary to get the West more involved. Because as we know, attacks on critical infrastructure are tantamount to the use of WMDs to the international community.
I looked but did not see that story, but it is interesting. Might be nothing, might be comms.
It's all over the msm rags now. Here's a link to a NYPost article about it:
https://nypost.com/2023/06/05/prosecutors-ask-about-flooded-mar-a-lago-computer-server-room-in-trump-classified-documents-probe-report/