‘We’re gonna win, maybe bigger than anyone understands’.- Trump
(nitter.poast.org)
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I am still predicting a 50 state win. You might think I am crazy, but we will know in less than two weeks.
With the universal mail in voting in Washington and Oregon I would be shocked lol.
And doling out ballots by mail to anyone with a driver’s license.
I know those are tough nuts to crack. I have an idea how the rest are going to happen, but I don’t have a feeling of how that will go down.
This, alas.
I know the Dems are not happy campers right now...but there's no way that Pugetopolis will be outvoted by the rest of us.
Your lips to God's ears, fren!
Personally I'll be perfectly happy with PDJT winning enough states that the seven cheatin' count-ballots-for-weeks swinger states won't matter at all. Am hoping this is what Whatley means when he says we'll know the results on election night.
Be ready to watch what happens when Trump takes New York.
If the number of voters hits the registered amount, no others after election day should be counted.
Are you talking about same day registration?
Any, if the votes come in and they are larger amounts of people registered, the counting should be stopped and find out where all the extras are from.
That's where they're coming from. Same Day Registration.
I believe the same!
I want to believe!🐸❤👌
You don't think there are enough liberals in the country to carry even one state?
There are only 15% core liberals. Another 16% legacy democrat voters. They have to get to 51% using propaganda and voter fraud. It used to be 3% for a long time, then it went to about 5% with Kerry. It jumped to 10% with Obama and jumped again to 15% with Hillary. And again to at least 20% with Biden. I believe that Trump will both take big chunks out of the cheating and gain around 20 million votes.
Where are you getting these numbers?
Law of large numbers calculations using county populations. Tempered with other factors. I have been doing this ever since’76. Republicans confided in me back then that they just accepted the 3% as a cost of doing business such that the people would have confidence in the elections.
Is there anything online that you can point me towards so I can try to learn more about it?
That must be a hell of a task. How many thousands and thousands of counties did you have to go through in order to get numbers for the entire country?
A little over 3,000 counties and county equivalents in the territories. After each election there is a breakdown. I am not sure where it is archived. One key is that the election participation rate does not change very much across the country except for a few small outliers. Although in 2020 the deep blue city counties made themselves outliers by exceeding 100% of registered voters or very close to it.
Do you do the calculations yourself? What other factors do you use?
How are "core" and "legacy" voters defined? Which/how many counties were used as a sample size in order to make these calculations? How does it account for the fact that liberals and conservatives are not equally distributed through the country?
Does it take into effect the aging population and the fact that older people are historically much more conservative than younger people? Considering that we have the youngest part of the largest generation ever now at retirement age and older, and the highest mortality rates for conservative voters, that seems like it should be taken into consideration.
What about the changes that covid and work from home caused in the demographics? Many people moved out of cities (more likely blue) and into suburbs and the countryside (more likely purple or red) when the pandemic hit. A good deal of them are still there, hence all the complaints about people moving into red states, trying to turn them blue. All this has happened since the last election, so there won't be any voting records that would reflect this. This could potentially affect swing states if large numbers of democrats moved there during/after the pandemic. And judging by how many people are complaining about being overrun by liberals moving in, it's not beyond possibilities.
From what I understand, the counties exceeding 100% of registered voters were due to same day registration voters.
Remember when Trump would say we're going to get tired of winning? I want to feel the win like 2016 again.
That wasn’t a win, that was a warmup.
Trump is going to win Cali and NY, so even IF the Dems cheat in the other states, they still lose. Kuntmala and the Dems think that NY and Cali are safe, they aren't.
And Elon is doing another rally in PA. They are focusing on the states that the DNC takes for granted. Brilliant. PA folks are super blue class and deserve better. I
I looked at the map and many here in northern CA have early voting. That part of the state is very red.
No taxes…. End the FED…. Oh muh almonds….
u/#sassypopcorn
Thanks for the Nitter link, Fren! Saves me time in having to convert the link myself. Cheers!
u/#trumpstorm
I wonder what his plan to stop the vote switching machines is.
He has been right so far, no reason to doubt him yet.