If “water” is information or compromising information, then a destructive, spinning swirl of water, a waterspout (mini storm of information) is likely the declassification or movement of damaging blackmail info from one handler (blackhat?) to another (whitehat?).

Some were powerful waterspouts, one of which may have been responsible for the sinking of a large yacht off of Sicily.

-International Centre for Waterspout Research (ICWR)

https://watchers.news/2024/08/20/waterspout-outbreak-off-the-coast-of-northern-italy-and-sardinia/

Sicily is the HQ for one of the worldwide criminal syndicate factions, suspected to be one of 13 families near top of pyramid. If whitehats can takeout cabal players in their “home waters”, then the cabal is truly in a perilous state at the moment. They were probably captured, but need to appear to be missing or dead.

With Big Mike hopefully.

“Lost at sea” is classic cover for hiding that someone has been captured, moved into protective custody, or being setup with new identity.

Tom Hanks is the most “in your face”example of this. He faked his own death as Michael Rockefeller, age shifted new identity by roughly 15 years, and then made a movie about it to mocks us. The movie is called ‘Cast Away’ (2000). Yes, “Mike from NYC” is Michael Rockefeller son of Nelson Rockefeller.

https://m.imdb.com/title/tt0162222/

Note it is “Cast Away” and not “Castaway” intentionally. Appears to be part of the mocking as it is reference to unchecked “spell casting” of making everyone believe he is someone he is not. Top tier evil dude is the REALITY once the spell is broken.

At the time, his disappearance was major international news. His body was never found,[6] and he was declared legally dead in 1964.[7][8]

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Rockefeller

Riiiiiiight....one of the sons of one of the wealthiest dudes on the planet (who happened to be expert swimmer) just “poofed” right out of existence after a mysterious “boating accident”, and his body was never found. This is why all my guns are at the bottom of some lake...wink...wink.

Look at the license plate on the wall: “Mike from NY”; Search yandex.com for “Tom Hanks with Oprah and clock”

Or it was the people he has been working with or working for eliminating loose ends before somebody else might be able to get to them and maybe make a deal and they'd talk.

The news say that one of the people rescued was a year old baby. I know that wars can not be fought without collateral damage, but I still hope that the Space Force might be a bit more selective as to when they might target somebody, in order to avoid that collateral damage as much as possible.

J asked GPT for a clarification on this and:

Bayesian reasoning, which relies on predefined probabilistic models, is outmoded in the time of LLMs because these models can learn complex patterns and relationships from vast amounts of data without needing explicit prior probabilities. LLMs are more adaptable and can process nuanced information directly from raw data, making Bayesian methods less relevant for certain types of predictive tasks. However, Bayesian reasoning still holds value in areas requiring clear interpretability and where domain-specific knowledge is critical.