Black Swan - How can a Black Swan Event Occur - When Nothing They do Surprises us Anymore? Discuss? See Comments!
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Nothing surprises me anymore. I do get excited about some posts, because I’m like wow this is getting lit. But nothing surprises me. I will say I was surprised to see Kevin Spacey on Tucker, Carlson, but I don’t have the wherewithal to even watch that garbage or try and wrap my mind around that.
But a black swan event is supposed to be something that is surprising, and out of the ordinary, it’s something that’s supposed to shock the world. I’m not sure what the percentage of awake people are now, but there are at least 50%. Do you think that’s a high number?
So is a black swan event, the precipice?
The black swan that’s allowed to happen. I still think Madoff 2.0 is out here waiting on us. CBDC is end game slavery and we can’t get a switch to that final battle without Wallstreet causing some chairs.
We HODL comrade. The Rothschilds can’t use their intelligence assets to do a panic sell off trick.
We BUY.HODL.MOON.
Watch The Great Taking documentary. It should be regularly posted on here for users to see.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dk3AVceraTI
Also gotta add in there
Here's where you can buy the book for The Great Taking. There's a free downloadable PDF available as well.
https://thegreattaking.com
Archived Zip File of all references from "The Great Taking" minus [48], [27] (Video has been scrubbed) and [10] (Don't have an electronic copy of the '87 Book) https://files.catbox.moe/6pxbwr.zip
Full [48] is too big to be included in a catbox.moe link, It hasn't been scrubbed off YouTube yet. (October-19-2020) Cross-Border Payment -- A Vision for the Future | IMF https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mVmKN4DSu3g
Source [4] or [5] citing Uniform Commercial Code (UCC) Article 8 and 9 as the legal right to take all of your security investments.
A link to the source is here https://archive.org/details/ec-clearing-questionnaire/page/19/mode/2up
U.c.c. - Article 8 - Investment Securities (1994) can be found here https://www.law.cornell.edu/ucc/8
U.c.c. - Article 9 - Secured Transactions (2010) can be found here https://www.law.cornell.edu/ucc/9
Extra research on David Rogers Webb - Author of "The Great Taking"
EXTRA-on-David-Rogers-Webb.zip 73.2 MB https://files.catbox.moe/24nvf2.zip
Same!
I hope The black swan event will be when dwac shoots up to 10,000% in one day. Talk about waking people up lol
That would be fantastic!
Question is do you sell at 10,000% or hodl till 20,000%
Who am I kidding probably would already sell some at 1000%
Can you imagine. The whole world would stop and just watch the stock climb and climb and climb. Of course normies will start piling in as well.
Sell enough to cover plus some profit taking - hold the rest to see what happens using "house" money
Would be nice!
This, or Trump is suddenly and unexpectedly announced as our true President! Think of how many liberals and satan worshippers that would put in the hospital!
The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. The term is based on an ancient saying that presumed black swans did not exist, until they were discovered in Australia in 1697, and it then became reinterpreted to mean an unforeseen and consequential event.
A black swan (Cygnus atratus) in Australia The theory was developed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, starting in 2001, to explain:
The disproportionate role of high-profile, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance, and technology.
The non-computability of the probability of consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities).
The psychological biases that blind people, both individually and collectively, to uncertainty and to the substantial role of rare events in historical affairs.
Con’t https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory
Like, like the sovereignty of God?
And His ways being beyond (way Way) our understanding?
👏👏👏
Surprises for us are vastly different than surprises for the sheep
True 🧐
Med Bed are real announcement from DJT would be one, as would a global Wardenclyffe Tower system already in place.
Turkey illusion is a cognitive bias describing the surprise resulting from a break in a trend, if one does not know the causes or the framework conditions for this trend. The concept was first introduced by Bertrand Russell to illustrate a problem with inductive reasoning.
The turkey designated for Thanksgiving is fed and cared for every day until it is slaughtered. With each feeding, its certainty or confidence that nothing will happen to it increases, based on past experience. From the turkey's point of view, the certainty that it will be fed and cared for again the next day is greatest on the night before it dies, of all days. Nevertheless, it is slaughtered that day, by the very person who cared for him.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkey_illusion
We could literally start nuking our own cities and I would sit here like, yup, that sounds about right.
I just mentally walked down that scenario and arrived at the same conclusion as you 😄
Space aliens could come join the "Biden administration," Stacey Abrams could be put into orbit as a second moon to block the sun and stop "global warming," and McCarthy's lips could fall off from kissing Deep State ass. But none of it would surprise me.
🤣🤣🤣
What rare event had good outcomes? Does this theory imply negative or bad?
I’m not so sure. The problem is what is a rare event anymore? Is there such a thing, now that we’re living in clown world? 10 years ago any one thing that happens every day now, would be considered a rare event. For something to be rare now, it would have to be ginormous.
Perhaps 10 days of darkness, worldwide, would be a ginormous event. Because the max havoc that would occur from such an event, would affect just about every single person on the planet. With the argument that it could be good or bad, I think it could be both. It would be such a catastrophic event, that people being off the Internet for 10 full days, would wake up most of the populous. THIS would be a good thing.
However; along with that 10 days of darkness — would be a lot of catastrophic events. Wars, looting, etc.…. But also, with that type of climate, I think there would be a lot of people protecting themselves as well. People would be more likely to get their guns out and start protecting their communities, if they knew no one was tracking them 24/7. You could actually protect your home and your family, without being held accountable to Soros DA’s and judges, and being sent to jail.
You could go back-and-forth on this for 10 days and see the result.
10 days of darkness could actually be the best, and worst thing that could ever happen to us. Quick down and dirty, yet… A huge amount of clean up.
It is Q #88
10 days.
Darkness.
There is no "of".
A few lines from post 88 -
Ten days.
Darkness.
Scare tactics (MSM).
D's falling.
R's walk-away/removed.
SA--> US --> ASIA --> EU
Disinformation is real.
Distractions are necessary.
============================
A few lines from post 97 -
Paint the picture.
Disinformation exists and is necessary.
10 days.
Darnkess.
War.
Good v. Evil.
Regardless of spelling of darkness in post 88 or Darnkess in post 97, it paints a picture of distress and scary times to come with false information coming at us from all sides.
Black Rifles are icky, that’s why I don’t own any.
You need the ruger mini 14 it shoots exactly the same as a black rifle and has a nice wood stock.
The birth of a child from a virgin is exceptionally rare with an extraordinary outcome
Yes, it is… Yes it is!
Stonks go boom.
Hodl.
The Black Swan event is not for us.. we're way past that imo. The event will be for normies but how many percent left? Even the blinds (like my jabbed relatives) just read the long list of side effects by Pfizer after they lost the lawsuit..
When Corona started, there was mass hysteria w/ liberals being all over it like a new Taylor Swift song. They all acted like doctors without degrees and enjoyed their opportunities to virtual signal even more and acted like saints w/ staying home, being anti social, and taking jab after jab and even writing songs about jabs and lockdowns. The Asians finally felt like their mask wearing habit has paid off because the rest of the world is following their fashion trend.
The next event will have to be one which may also work to libtards' advantage such as calling out sick, getting stimulus checks, and being stuck at home for days/months (again!). They love those lockdowns and fantasize about zombie apocalypse.
I think the next event is one which will hurt their wallets. First our body - Covid, next finance - crash, 3rd relying fully on govt help/control, 4th CBDC.. I'm guessing that's DS plan ..
Black Swan events are for waking up the normies. Its important to look at everything that is happening from the still-sleeping normie perspective.
The scariest thing out there is that the elites have their "apocalypse proof" bunkers, and they would have no problem releasing global catastrophe, and maybe, would even enjoy it.
They are completely enjoy it. They would lifestream it, and watch it later.
I’ve got tranny aliens from outer space on my January bingo card, I missed Senate sodomy for December though.
🤣😂
Q often wrote about "Follow the Pen" by Catherine Herridge
Video 30 seconds. Investigative journalist Catherine Herridge: "2024 the year of a black swan event". FALSE FLAG FINANCIAL CRASH TO TRY TO FOOL YOU INTO CBDC TO CONTROL YOU? THEN BLAME IRAN TO STAR A NEVER ENDING WAR?
https://greatawakening.win/p/17s5MpalrJ/video-30-seconds-investigative-j/c/
A super volcano exploding? Isn't the one in Yosemite over due?
Yes, it is by the way!
Obama and Big Mike outed as gay after being charged with murder. Barry then claims Kenyan citizenship and tries to flee the US.
I was more surprised that Catherine Herridge was willing to stick her neck out a bit and predict one involving "national security" for 2024.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2023/12/24/cbss_catherine_herridge_predicts_black_swan_event_in_2024_fertile_ground_for_our_adversaries.html
Watch The Great Taking. It should be regularly posted on here for users to see.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dk3AVceraTI
Thank you very much for the link to the Great Taking. It is positively riveting, frightening and educational. It gives us a lot to think about and prepare for. I will share with many. NCSWIC
Share this as well
Here's where you can buy the book for The Great Taking. There's a free downloadable PDF available as well.
https://thegreattaking.com
Archived Zip File of all references from "The Great Taking" minus [48], [27] (Video has been scrubbed) and [10] (Don't have an electronic copy of the '87 Book) https://files.catbox.moe/6pxbwr.zip
Full [48] is too big to be included in a catbox.moe link, It hasn't been scrubbed off YouTube yet. (October-19-2020) Cross-Border Payment -- A Vision for the Future | IMF https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mVmKN4DSu3g
Source [4] or [5] citing Uniform Commercial Code (UCC) Article 8 and 9 as the legal right to take all of your security investments.
A link to the source is here https://archive.org/details/ec-clearing-questionnaire/page/19/mode/2up
U.c.c. - Article 8 - Investment Securities (1994) can be found here https://www.law.cornell.edu/ucc/8
U.c.c. - Article 9 - Secured Transactions (2010) can be found here https://www.law.cornell.edu/ucc/9
Extra research on David Rogers Webb - Author of "The Great Taking"
EXTRA-on-David-Rogers-Webb.zip 73.2 MB https://files.catbox.moe/24nvf2.zip
Thank you very much for this additional information. I’m still reeling from the documentary The Great Taking. I’ve downloaded the pdf already. All is most appreciated as I plan for this certain catastrophe, as best I can. NCSWIC
Iran shutting down the strait of hormuz should do it. But so many other things have happened up to now tells me it isn't a black swan until other strings are pulled to make it into one.
Evergreen?
Or Evergrand (Bankruptcy) for the 84th time
10 days of black swan darkness 😂🤣
More surprising than the 2020 lockdown? Aliens, or Jesus’ 2nd coming.
🤣😂
Isn't a Black Swan an unforeseen event(s)? If so, we already know what's coming. Is it still a Black Swan?
Well, we know for certain no one can stop what is coming! NCSWIC!
After LONG THOUGHT: The revelation that raped and murdered trafficked children are disposed of in our food supply/canned foods would knock EVERYTHING out of the news while people stopped eating and shopping and demanded testing and - it wouldn't even have to be true! But it would cover the entire news for long enough to do anything!! Opinions?
That would definitely be shocking, although I’m not surprised if it’s true. We already know that they are putting some type of human remains in McDonald’s food and stuff like that. Don’t ask me for proof, I can’t remember what it’s all about but it’s something pretty disgusting.
It would be great for something like that to be brought to light, and people actually pay attention! That was a good one though. That was a good thought.
10 Days of Darnkess. Not darkness.
Deep and unsettling pain.
Nuclear attack, aliens revealed, assassination attempt, Epstein or JFK, Jr return - none of that would surprise us. Joe Biden suicide or confession...nope. Controlled manipulation of reality proving we are in a simulation might be enough - but even that has been tossed in the rink before. The return of Christ doesn't even count. So, I say no Black Swan as anything is possible including Zuckerberg proving Elon is really just an AI.
Yep… Agreed.
If the ´black swan’ event is The Great Taking, which should be required viewing for all, then many, at all levels of society, will be very surprised. (Coolasacucumber, thank you for recommending this documentary.) —————— Watch The Great Taking here:
https://youtu.be/dk3AVceraTI?si=0GTFKQBQRhnRPkeq —————— Download PDF here: https://img1.wsimg.com/blobby/go/1ee786fb-3c78-4903-9701-d614892d09d6/taking-ebook-c044a5e.pdf
I’ll try and watch us tonight. Thank you.
It is so full of information and particularly laws that have been quietly passed. It was a shocker for me because I thought that if I have no debt I am relatively safe. Wrong!
Stick with it. The first half is mostly about derivatives but necessary to understand the second half which has the most salient parts. Enjoy and share fren.
Thanks for the flair MODS👏👏👏
🤣😂🤣😂 https://greatawakening.win/p/17s5Mt0mlb/we-see-your-black-swan-and-raise/c/
You don't fight a 16 year plan over night. You fight it with your own 16 year plan. But in Trump fashion, they will have it done in half the time.
And under budget