I have always wondered what the "scare event" would be. It did not seem like Iran was all that scary, since their own nuclear program was blown up a while ago.
I did not consider that some other country would give them a nuke...
OK, imagine you are an Iranian leader, batshit crazy, with one or more nuclear weapons. Where do you detonate it?
Who have we learned recently that is very connected to Iran? I've read the UK and Pakistan; Also known is ally, Russia (real or imagined.) How attached is China? I don't know.
Which countries have nuclear weapons? Feels very precipice-like.
China was buying most of Iran's oil at a steep discount. Iran does not have many options to sell internationally, so you know the deal was very good for China. Even if they are not allies, per se, they are certainly very good friends of convenience.
Iran has likely been under our control for several years. We (MSM and normies) are only experiencing the disclosure phase.
To me, it makes more sense for the remaining rogue agencies (CIÄ, Mossad, MI6, etc) to collectively frame Iran as the aggressor since their money laundering cash cow has been publicly butchered for the whole world to see.
They desperately need a false flag event to turn the world against Trump and wait him out until 2028. Their options are limited as their astroturf terrorist groups have been defunded and kinetically decimated.
Israel is supposed to have the best border/customs procedures on the planet. I wouldn't think they (Iran) could get something of size inside that country, especially since Isr is, off and on, at war with about 7 different countries... Isr would always be on high alert. Also, would Iran detonate somewhere where the fallout could reach back into Iran? I wouldn't think so, but maybe the leaders are willing to live underground for the better part of a year and come back up to a decimated country. I'm assuming they have no delivery system other than a ground-based vehicle.
IMO negotiation with a medieval fanatical culture is futile. They are still bombing in that region. Their plan is to stall and lie and wait it out. He needs to re-initiate Epic Fury to remind them who they are dealing with.
First rules when becoming president:
1). Never trust democrats.
2). Never trust Israel, especially Netanyahu.
3). Never trust Iran, communist and Muslim countries.
Larry Johnson is a POS anti-Trumper right in there with Andrew Napolitano, Jeffery Sacks, Douglas Macgregor types. Would not trust what he says as far as I can spit (I am not a spitter either)
Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson shared an intelligence claim that Iran intends to withdraw from negotiations, exit the Nonproliferation Treaty, and detonate a nuclear device obtained from a third country. Johnson quoted the reported Iranian stance as 'Leave us alone like North Korea. We got a weapon now.' The information reportedly reached Secretary of State Marco Rubio through the Pakistani foreign minister. Within an hour of Iran's announcement, President Trump was on the phone with Prime Minister Netanyahu amid Axios reporting that Trump threatened Netanyahu and called him 'FKN CRAZY.'
Just in 2024, Pakistan and Iran were firing missiles at each other's territories.
You never know when some rogue elements in Pakistan might steal and sell one to Iran... but not very likely. India would certainly never sell a nuke to Iran. China might, but very doubtful. North Korea might, but again doubtful.
There's just factions. This guy is anti trump deepstate faction cia. The cia that support trump are the zionist faction cia.
These TDS 'ex' CIA go onto jimmydore to say that america is losing in Iran (SURE), that innocent ole Iran doesn't do terrorism, only US does, against Iran. And free palestine. Reee!
The best analysis here is stop listening to these fuckers. Maybe also stop listening to the Trump fuckers too. We can't know what's going on, we're not there. Trump's team is dishonest also (sorry). During this time, it might be best to just pick up a new hobby or play some albion online or finally watch the expanse.
Or listen to everyone like I do and just take it with a grain of salt. I love listening to jeff berwick, dore, max igan, and sgt report....I think they are good people, but theya re wrong a lot...a LOT, and hysterical. I AM however curious about the tezla.club
PAKISTAN FOREIGN MINISTER'S SECRET MESSAGE TO RUBIO: IRAN WILL DEMONSTRATE A NUCLEAR BOMB
In a development that has flown under the radar of mainstream reporting, well-connected former CIA intelligence agent Larry Johnson has come forward with a direct warning from the highest levels. Pakistan's foreign minister personally delivered a message to Secretary Marco Rubio on Friday stating that Iran is prepared to demonstrate a nuclear weapon should the current escalation continue. This revelation, which Johnson is racing to confirm with his sources, introduces a terrifying new dimension to the conflict that few have anticipated.
THE STARTLING MESSAGE DELIVERED
➡️ Pakistan's foreign minister delivered a direct message to Marco Rubio stating that Iran will do a demonstration with a nuclear weapon.
➡️ This would be detonated in a way to send a message to both Israel and the United States.
➡️ Larry Johnson explained that this move comes if the current escalation continues without resolution.
THE CRITICAL UNKNOWN
➡️ It is not clear if this is a nuclear weapon developed by Iran or one given to Iran by Pakistan or North Korea.
➡️ The former CIA agent said he does not yet have the answer to that critical question.
➡️ Either way the ability to demonstrate it marks a dangerous new reality in the standoff.
THE BOTTOM LINE
This intelligence from a highly connected ex-CIA operative places the specter of an Iranian nuclear demonstration at the heart of the current crisis, turning what was a conventional standoff into something far more perilous.
The world is now on notice that one side may soon cross a line that changes the rules of engagement forever.
#IranNuclear #LarryJohnson #ExCIA #NuclearDemonstration #PakistanWarning #RubioAlert #EscalationRisk
HT: YouTube
@Judgenap https://x.com/Mark4XX/status/2061735645425422522
Fear is the dis-ease. These guys are asking for complete anihilation.of their members. Utter destruction. Clean out the entire cabal. Especially the city of london. Flatten it.
They were incentivized before. One thing the "no wars" (which is actually the "no Israel") bunch needs to understand is the Islamic Republic is an apocalyptic death cult. They believe it is their calling to clean the Earth to prepare it for the coming of the Twelfth Imam. What better way than with nukes. America is their constitutionally mandated primary target. It has been for 47 years. The "no wars" people need to stop pressuring Trump to quit this war. We need to see it all the way through. This is not a Cabal action. This is ours.
I've been saying this, or similar for years here, and explaining that Israel has a land covenant (as Iraq, Egypt, and other nations do) that God will not violate. They have gone into exile a few times, but they always return. According to Ezekiel, the return to the land precedes the spiritual restoration. (Ezekiel 36 - 38)
Iran wants Israel destroyed, because Israel is evidence that Islam is untrue, and flies in the face of Islam's extreme triumphalism: any territory taken by Islamist Fundamentalists has to remain under their control or has to be retaken if lost, according to their doctrine of Islam. (and as a counter point,...) It's also evidence for the truthfulness of the Scriptures, both Antique (Older) and Newer Testaments.
No. None of that is correct. And if somehow Israel (?) has "evidence that Islam is untrue" (???), then they could just release it and devastate the whole world with facts and logic today.
You also didn't actually answer the question: this thread was started by me asserting that the war has given Iran a greater incentive to nuclearize. Do you agree or disagree with that assessment?
It's not that just that Israel has evidence that Islam is not true per se, (though they likely could say they do, in that they maintain the Dead Sea Scrolls and they are older than Islam, and contradict it, while affirming the translation of Scripture (at least to the Greek Septuagint ) is more than 99% verified.) Israel itself is evidence that Islam is not true, because Islam denies the right of other faiths to exist, and denies the Older Testament, and denies Israel's right to exist as a nation under the land covenant given by God.
The evidence for Islam not being true comes more from Christianity than Israel it self, frankly, but the evidence is clear none the less:
If Christianity is true, Islam is not ,due to contradictory claims:
a. Islam claims Jesus is simply a prophet, while Mohammed is claimed as The Prophet, where Christianity claims Jesus as son Of God, and the greatest prophet, priest and king
b. Islam claims 'God has no sons, while Christianity claims Jesus as God's unique son.
c. Christianity claims a resurrection for Jesus, while Islam claims he was taken to heaven and only appeared to have died (contrary to at least one eye-witness
, John)
d. There are no direct eye witnesses to Mohammed's being The Prophet, while there were 500 witnesses to Jesus' ascension to heaven, after His death, burial, and resurrection.
e. Judaism shares some beliefs with Christianity that are not shared by Islam.
A belief that Isaac was the promised one and primary heir of Abraham.
A belief that the Older Testament is the inspired Word of God - Islam holds that the Older and Newer Testaments are corrupted, and only the Koran is not
No, they weren't. What it says is that they have nuclear material. It can be used for a variety of purposes, but what is probably the most likely purpose is the Japan strategy of having the components of a nuclear weapon available to make if they are threatened, but without actually making one or certainly, using one. Please stick to facts: the UN did not declare that Iran were developing or had a nuclear weapon.
It's not that just that Israel has evidence that Islam is not true per se
Dude, this is what you wrote above! This is why I have to preface my comment with point out how I'm trying to take you in good faith, but you instantly misrepresented a source and then directly contradicted what you wrote before. This is desperate nonsense. The entire argument that Israel existing per se means that Islam is not true genuinely beggars belief as well. There has never been anyone in history who said, "Yeah, I guess Muhammad wasn't the seal of the prophets since the State of Israel exists". Wild stuff, man.
The stuff about Christianity is obviously irrelevant and like most of your comment is not at all related to the topic, which is that this war has galvanized and legitimized the desire for a nuclear weapon in Iran. If you were Iran, what would you do now? Would you think, "Well, Israel and America will just bomb me at will, so I guess I'd better not pursue a nuclear weapon, which is the single best deterrent to their aggression?" Of course not. Iranians are rational actors and as much as you want to paint them as some illogical death cult, they are acting in their geopolitical best interests they understand them. They are not motivated by superstition or mental illness or revanchism, but basic existential dread and a desire to come out ahead on the negotiations.
They don't believe that. Iranians also respond to geopolitical pressures just like anyone else. If reports (on this board) are to be believed, this war has emboldened and empowered the hardest-line elements of their government. If it is the case that there is something inherent to the Shia culture of Iran that is an apocalyptic death cult, then what is your proposal here? The United States cannot win a war with Iran without insanely huge costs. Iraq had a population a quarter its size, was far less prepared, and wasn't surrounded by mountains, and it took the United States 20 years and a trillion dollars to basically just turn it into a quagmire (where Iran now has a loyalist military foothold that it didn't have prior to 2003). Should the United States spend $4 trillion and 80 years trying to occupy Iran instead? I have no clue what you think "seeing it all the way through" is, but it's infeasible at best and completely disastrous morally. We cannot win a military victory here.
No one said it. I inferred it from the fact that that is how the United States beat Japan in World War II. As I wrote above, there is no path for a military victory in Iran. You responded by saying that America beat Japan. If you aren't trying to imply using a similar tactic, you have to see how that's a pretty clear implication of what you wrote.
That said, what is your strategy for winning militarily in Iran?
I don't know what intelligence or weapon loadout or force reserves Trump has at his disposal. My only point was that the obstacle can be overcome if there is enough power and grit at Trump's disposal. Is there anything wrong with how the United States compelled Japan to surrender? (Remember, the military leadership were urging resistance in the face of the two weapons being used. Very similar to IRGC hotheads.)
By the way, absent nuclear weapons (yet to be substantiated), we have already won militarily. The problem is closing on the main objective in the face of a chaotic political environment in Iran.
Trump has a constraint not generally discussed. He is the de facto leader of a military coalition involving Saudi Arabia, UAE, and a few others. He can't move any faster than their stomachs can stand. If there is a nuke running around, I think the clear order of business is to track it down and neutralize it---and also identify the source of it. Whoever that party is, is clearly an enemy of all.
Less so, but if you are Iran, what would you do? If you think that Israel and the United States will just bomb you at will, the only thing keeping them from doing it is a nuclear weapon. This is the same lesson that Gaddafi and the Kims learned, just one was a little too late to keep from being murdered in the street.
I would certainly trust a former CIA Analyst, especially if Mario Nawfal is promoting him.
Well, maybe not.
And, I still have salt in my pantry, too.
Larry Johnson's been around a long time. Nothing became of his writings.
Salt, sugar, honey, Spam, all things that never go bad. And don't forget heavy metals.
Well, Iron Maiden was never my thing...
I have always wondered what the "scare event" would be. It did not seem like Iran was all that scary, since their own nuclear program was blown up a while ago.
I did not consider that some other country would give them a nuke...
OK, imagine you are an Iranian leader, batshit crazy, with one or more nuclear weapons. Where do you detonate it?
Who have we learned recently that is very connected to Iran? I've read the UK and Pakistan; Also known is ally, Russia (real or imagined.) How attached is China? I don't know.
Which countries have nuclear weapons? Feels very precipice-like.
China was buying most of Iran's oil at a steep discount. Iran does not have many options to sell internationally, so you know the deal was very good for China. Even if they are not allies, per se, they are certainly very good friends of convenience.
Iran has likely been under our control for several years. We (MSM and normies) are only experiencing the disclosure phase.
To me, it makes more sense for the remaining rogue agencies (CIÄ, Mossad, MI6, etc) to collectively frame Iran as the aggressor since their money laundering cash cow has been publicly butchered for the whole world to see.
They desperately need a false flag event to turn the world against Trump and wait him out until 2028. Their options are limited as their astroturf terrorist groups have been defunded and kinetically decimated.
They have not.
If they put their bombs where their mouths are, the US or Israel. If not, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Somaliland, Argentina?
Israel is supposed to have the best border/customs procedures on the planet. I wouldn't think they (Iran) could get something of size inside that country, especially since Isr is, off and on, at war with about 7 different countries... Isr would always be on high alert. Also, would Iran detonate somewhere where the fallout could reach back into Iran? I wouldn't think so, but maybe the leaders are willing to live underground for the better part of a year and come back up to a decimated country. I'm assuming they have no delivery system other than a ground-based vehicle.
More proof that Iran will NEVER make a deal. Time to finish Epic Fury.
You are correct.
So..... you're saying that Trump doesn't know what he's doing?
asking for a fren...
IMO negotiation with a medieval fanatical culture is futile. They are still bombing in that region. Their plan is to stall and lie and wait it out. He needs to re-initiate Epic Fury to remind them who they are dealing with.
Thanks. I'll take DJT's opinion over yours. But that's just me...
Oh, and his intel. Oh, and his experience. I think he knows exactly what he is doing.
Well of course- he is the president… he has my full support.
Updoogle!
Mario has become a propaganda outlet. He’s gotten so bad that Elon unfollowed him. https://x.com/brick_suit/status/2059385389832630318?s=61&t=Na9w5fE3ieoT5_-6p6gtUw
Hence, take with a grain of salt.
^ my bias
First rules when becoming president: 1). Never trust democrats. 2). Never trust Israel, especially Netanyahu. 3). Never trust Iran, communist and Muslim countries.
If Iran actually had a nuclear weapon, why would they wait until they were mostly obliterated to use it?
The Gotterdammurung principle: power over ashes...
Yup. And Steven Spielberg is about to release the definitive, final truth about God. I am going to give this one at least 72 hours.
This
It is "ALMOST" certainly true! Kek
Larry Johnson is a POS anti-Trumper right in there with Andrew Napolitano, Jeffery Sacks, Douglas Macgregor types. Would not trust what he says as far as I can spit (I am not a spitter either)
Didn’t Q mention this years ago? Wasn’t this the plan to give Russia uranium then blame them?
Sorta like in the movie, Sum of All Fears?
Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson shared an intelligence claim that Iran intends to withdraw from negotiations, exit the Nonproliferation Treaty, and detonate a nuclear device obtained from a third country. Johnson quoted the reported Iranian stance as 'Leave us alone like North Korea. We got a weapon now.' The information reportedly reached Secretary of State Marco Rubio through the Pakistani foreign minister. Within an hour of Iran's announcement, President Trump was on the phone with Prime Minister Netanyahu amid Axios reporting that Trump threatened Netanyahu and called him 'FKN CRAZY.'
SOURCE: https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2061672418154807573 SOURCE (mirror): https://xcancel.com/MarioNawfal/status/2061672418154807573
Pakistan would NEVER give Iran a nuke.
Just in 2024, Pakistan and Iran were firing missiles at each other's territories.
You never know when some rogue elements in Pakistan might steal and sell one to Iran... but not very likely. India would certainly never sell a nuke to Iran. China might, but very doubtful. North Korea might, but again doubtful.
The Norks would if Iran gave them enough hard currency.
Is the hat and cuban cigar supposed to make him more credible?
Certainly, you can always believe a man with a cigar. And with a panama hat, well, that clinches it. Who can doubt it?
Yeah, I'm supposed to believe some rando dude, with "unnamed sources" (intelligence to boot). Mmmmm k.
Pakistan or India? I think we know the answer.
Or North Korea? Would Kim be that stupid?
That's my guess. Lil Kim wants a friend.
No such thing as 'former' CIA
There's just factions. This guy is anti trump deepstate faction cia. The cia that support trump are the zionist faction cia.
These TDS 'ex' CIA go onto jimmydore to say that america is losing in Iran (SURE), that innocent ole Iran doesn't do terrorism, only US does, against Iran. And free palestine. Reee!
The best analysis here is stop listening to these fuckers. Maybe also stop listening to the Trump fuckers too. We can't know what's going on, we're not there. Trump's team is dishonest also (sorry). During this time, it might be best to just pick up a new hobby or play some albion online or finally watch the expanse.
Or listen to everyone like I do and just take it with a grain of salt. I love listening to jeff berwick, dore, max igan, and sgt report....I think they are good people, but theya re wrong a lot...a LOT, and hysterical. I AM however curious about the tezla.club
PAKISTAN FOREIGN MINISTER'S SECRET MESSAGE TO RUBIO: IRAN WILL DEMONSTRATE A NUCLEAR BOMB
In a development that has flown under the radar of mainstream reporting, well-connected former CIA intelligence agent Larry Johnson has come forward with a direct warning from the highest levels. Pakistan's foreign minister personally delivered a message to Secretary Marco Rubio on Friday stating that Iran is prepared to demonstrate a nuclear weapon should the current escalation continue. This revelation, which Johnson is racing to confirm with his sources, introduces a terrifying new dimension to the conflict that few have anticipated.
THE STARTLING MESSAGE DELIVERED ➡️ Pakistan's foreign minister delivered a direct message to Marco Rubio stating that Iran will do a demonstration with a nuclear weapon. ➡️ This would be detonated in a way to send a message to both Israel and the United States. ➡️ Larry Johnson explained that this move comes if the current escalation continues without resolution.
THE CRITICAL UNKNOWN ➡️ It is not clear if this is a nuclear weapon developed by Iran or one given to Iran by Pakistan or North Korea. ➡️ The former CIA agent said he does not yet have the answer to that critical question. ➡️ Either way the ability to demonstrate it marks a dangerous new reality in the standoff.
THE BOTTOM LINE This intelligence from a highly connected ex-CIA operative places the specter of an Iranian nuclear demonstration at the heart of the current crisis, turning what was a conventional standoff into something far more perilous. The world is now on notice that one side may soon cross a line that changes the rules of engagement forever. #IranNuclear #LarryJohnson #ExCIA #NuclearDemonstration #PakistanWarning #RubioAlert #EscalationRisk
HT: YouTube @Judgenap https://x.com/Mark4XX/status/2061735645425422522
💥 https://www.axios.com/2026/06/01/trump-netanyahu-israel-lebanon-call💥🇺🇸
It seems to me that the veracity of Axios is at the crux of this issue. Does anyone have an estimate of how much to rely on them for information?
thoughts: USA knows which 3rd country, Iran Parl. gets a “discombobulated” by military response
https://sonar21.com/
Fear is the dis-ease. These guys are asking for complete anihilation.of their members. Utter destruction. Clean out the entire cabal. Especially the city of london. Flatten it.
They were incentivized before. One thing the "no wars" (which is actually the "no Israel") bunch needs to understand is the Islamic Republic is an apocalyptic death cult. They believe it is their calling to clean the Earth to prepare it for the coming of the Twelfth Imam. What better way than with nukes. America is their constitutionally mandated primary target. It has been for 47 years. The "no wars" people need to stop pressuring Trump to quit this war. We need to see it all the way through. This is not a Cabal action. This is ours.
I've been saying this, or similar for years here, and explaining that Israel has a land covenant (as Iraq, Egypt, and other nations do) that God will not violate. They have gone into exile a few times, but they always return. According to Ezekiel, the return to the land precedes the spiritual restoration. (Ezekiel 36 - 38)
Iran has referred to Israel as 'the little satan' and the US as 'the big Satan' for years, since the Islamic Revolution in 1979. https://search.brave.com/search?q=How+often+has+Iran+referred+to+Israel+as+the+Little+Satan+and+the+US+as+the+Big+Satan&summary=1&conversation=0928c0e169248958dacfcc8db2dcae110a0c
How does this relate to Iran being incentivized to have a nuclear arsenal?
Iran wants Israel destroyed, because Israel is evidence that Islam is untrue, and flies in the face of Islam's extreme triumphalism: any territory taken by Islamist Fundamentalists has to remain under their control or has to be retaken if lost, according to their doctrine of Islam. (and as a counter point,...) It's also evidence for the truthfulness of the Scriptures, both Antique (Older) and Newer Testaments.
No. None of that is correct. And if somehow Israel (?) has "evidence that Islam is untrue" (???), then they could just release it and devastate the whole world with facts and logic today.
You also didn't actually answer the question: this thread was started by me asserting that the war has given Iran a greater incentive to nuclearize. Do you agree or disagree with that assessment?
I disagree, because according to the UN, they already were!: https://greatawakening.win/p/1ASZVknqg2/un-inspectors-admit-that-iran-ha/
see also my comment, in thread, here: https://greatawakening.win/p/1ASZVknqg2/x/c/4eblo7jHStB
It's not that just that Israel has evidence that Islam is not true per se, (though they likely could say they do, in that they maintain the Dead Sea Scrolls and they are older than Islam, and contradict it, while affirming the translation of Scripture (at least to the Greek Septuagint ) is more than 99% verified.) Israel itself is evidence that Islam is not true, because Islam denies the right of other faiths to exist, and denies the Older Testament, and denies Israel's right to exist as a nation under the land covenant given by God.
The evidence for Islam not being true comes more from Christianity than Israel it self, frankly, but the evidence is clear none the less:
If Christianity is true, Islam is not ,due to contradictory claims:
a. Islam claims Jesus is simply a prophet, while Mohammed is claimed as The Prophet, where Christianity claims Jesus as son Of God, and the greatest prophet, priest and king
b. Islam claims 'God has no sons, while Christianity claims Jesus as God's unique son.
c. Christianity claims a resurrection for Jesus, while Islam claims he was taken to heaven and only appeared to have died (contrary to at least one eye-witness , John)
d. There are no direct eye witnesses to Mohammed's being The Prophet, while there were 500 witnesses to Jesus' ascension to heaven, after His death, burial, and resurrection.
e. Judaism shares some beliefs with Christianity that are not shared by Islam.
A belief that Isaac was the promised one and primary heir of Abraham.
A belief that the Older Testament is the inspired Word of God - Islam holds that the Older and Newer Testaments are corrupted, and only the Koran is not
FMI: https://search.brave.com/search?q=what+are+the+contradictory+claims+of+Islam+and+Christianity&summary=1&conversation=09287f567ba155ba17f7870d2c8f5f4db880
Strong Evidence for the Resurrection of Jesus can be found in several places, but here are a few of my favorite links:
https://medium.com/@tudor.onutu/my-personal-evidence-list-for-christianity-6be9c552c50c
https://www.thegospelcoalition.org/article/earliest-evidence-christianity/
https://www.bethinking.org/is-christianity-true/the-evidence-for-christianity
https://salt.london/articles/five-reasons-why-theres-more-evidence-for-christianity-than-you-think/
https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/14780
https://coldcasechristianity.com/writings/the-christian-faith-is-an-evidential-faith/ This whole site gives the evidence for Christianity, but this link explains why that is true.
I'll assume good faith here.
No, they weren't. What it says is that they have nuclear material. It can be used for a variety of purposes, but what is probably the most likely purpose is the Japan strategy of having the components of a nuclear weapon available to make if they are threatened, but without actually making one or certainly, using one. Please stick to facts: the UN did not declare that Iran were developing or had a nuclear weapon.
Not sure what your point is.
Dude, this is what you wrote above! This is why I have to preface my comment with point out how I'm trying to take you in good faith, but you instantly misrepresented a source and then directly contradicted what you wrote before. This is desperate nonsense. The entire argument that Israel existing per se means that Islam is not true genuinely beggars belief as well. There has never been anyone in history who said, "Yeah, I guess Muhammad wasn't the seal of the prophets since the State of Israel exists". Wild stuff, man.
The stuff about Christianity is obviously irrelevant and like most of your comment is not at all related to the topic, which is that this war has galvanized and legitimized the desire for a nuclear weapon in Iran. If you were Iran, what would you do now? Would you think, "Well, Israel and America will just bomb me at will, so I guess I'd better not pursue a nuclear weapon, which is the single best deterrent to their aggression?" Of course not. Iranians are rational actors and as much as you want to paint them as some illogical death cult, they are acting in their geopolitical best interests they understand them. They are not motivated by superstition or mental illness or revanchism, but basic existential dread and a desire to come out ahead on the negotiations.
They don't believe that. Iranians also respond to geopolitical pressures just like anyone else. If reports (on this board) are to be believed, this war has emboldened and empowered the hardest-line elements of their government. If it is the case that there is something inherent to the Shia culture of Iran that is an apocalyptic death cult, then what is your proposal here? The United States cannot win a war with Iran without insanely huge costs. Iraq had a population a quarter its size, was far less prepared, and wasn't surrounded by mountains, and it took the United States 20 years and a trillion dollars to basically just turn it into a quagmire (where Iran now has a loyalist military foothold that it didn't have prior to 2003). Should the United States spend $4 trillion and 80 years trying to occupy Iran instead? I have no clue what you think "seeing it all the way through" is, but it's infeasible at best and completely disastrous morally. We cannot win a military victory here.
We faced this problem in the form of Japan in World War II, its soldiers dying en masse to preserve the honor of the divine Emperor. Guess who won?
So you are suggesting dropping multiple nuclear bombs on Iran?
Who said that? Where? You really ought not to read your own thoughts into the words of others.
No one said it. I inferred it from the fact that that is how the United States beat Japan in World War II. As I wrote above, there is no path for a military victory in Iran. You responded by saying that America beat Japan. If you aren't trying to imply using a similar tactic, you have to see how that's a pretty clear implication of what you wrote.
That said, what is your strategy for winning militarily in Iran?
I don't know what intelligence or weapon loadout or force reserves Trump has at his disposal. My only point was that the obstacle can be overcome if there is enough power and grit at Trump's disposal. Is there anything wrong with how the United States compelled Japan to surrender? (Remember, the military leadership were urging resistance in the face of the two weapons being used. Very similar to IRGC hotheads.)
By the way, absent nuclear weapons (yet to be substantiated), we have already won militarily. The problem is closing on the main objective in the face of a chaotic political environment in Iran.
Trump has a constraint not generally discussed. He is the de facto leader of a military coalition involving Saudi Arabia, UAE, and a few others. He can't move any faster than their stomachs can stand. If there is a nuke running around, I think the clear order of business is to track it down and neutralize it---and also identify the source of it. Whoever that party is, is clearly an enemy of all.
So they weren't trying to before?
Less so, but if you are Iran, what would you do? If you think that Israel and the United States will just bomb you at will, the only thing keeping them from doing it is a nuclear weapon. This is the same lesson that Gaddafi and the Kims learned, just one was a little too late to keep from being murdered in the street.